"This is a pattern we're going to see repeated," Grijalva said. House Democrats, he added, are made "to carry the day for the White House" and potentially strain their own bases of support, particularly among liberals. "The sacrifices we took for this president cost us the majority in the House. ... And we're not getting anything from [the White House] in return."
Liberals And Progressives Outside Congress: A recent Gallup Poll shows that Obama's job approval rating among liberal Democrats had begun to slip in November, following the midterm elections. And by the first week of December, after Obama announced the tax deal, his approval rating among liberal Democrats slipped under 80 percent for the first time (to 79 percent, specifically) — compared with 88 percent on Nov. 1, according to the survey.
"The White House continues to express surprise that the left is putting pressure on him to do more," Robert Borosage, president of the progressive Washington group Campaign for America's Future, said. "I'm always surprised that they are as resentful as they are."
Borosage says the left's support of Obama "has limits," such as on the extension of U.S. troop commitments in Afghanistan beyond 2011. The administration's review last week of the Afghanistan strategy indicated redeployment may be pushed as far back as 2014. "That," Borosage said, "would elicit a growing anti-war movement, and should."
One other sore point: Obama's decision to freeze salaries for federal employees. Critics on the left say Obama wrongly acted on a staple of Republicans' anti-government message, harming some 2 million workers across the nation and not simply Washington bureaucrats. They argue that putting extra money into federal workers' hands would have encouraged them to spend money and help stimulate the economy.
Looking toward the next session, liberals see another minefield in next year's budgeting process, for which congressional Republicans already have identified roughly $100 billion in proposed cuts in domestic spending. The left is watching for indications of how Obama might push back against GOP efforts to target funding for education, children, the poor, the environment and energy initiatives.
As for rumblings that Obama might face a primary challenge in 2012? Merely intraparty venting, liberals insist. Besides, Borosage says, "Once you face the right-wing assault coming from the new Congress, that will concentrate liberals."
Independent, I.E., Swing Voters: Truth is, most of Obama's swing voters from 2008 didn't leave him (or, really, the Democrats) in 2010. Are they disenchanted? Yes. Frustrated? Definitely. But they haven't entirely bailed. Exit polls and strategists from both parties indicate that the overwhelming majority of them stayed home on Election Day in November.
That's not to say Obama hasn't lost support among the middle-grounders. By any measure, he has. Which makes the positive public reaction to the tax deal all the more noteworthy.
A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released on Monday found that in the wake of the tax cut extension, the president's approval rating has ticked upward among moderates, 60 percent of whom told pollsters that they approved of Obama's job performance (up from 55 percent in November).
Among all respondents, 55 percent believed Obama's policies will move the nation in the right direction, while 44 percent think congressional Republicans' policies will do so. (Respondents were evenly divided, at 48 percent, about Obama's overall job performance.)
As for Obama's deal-making, polls have long suggested that independents want compromise. But really, Sabato says, independents care far more about results than about how Obama arrives at them, particularly where the economy is concerned.
"If the economy improves, a lot of this becomes back-burner stuff for political junkies," Sabato said. "That will help Obama, but it'll also help the Republicans, who will claim credit for the change in direction. And Americans will say, ‘We'll keep this [divided government] going. It's a good check and balance for both sides.' "
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