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更多選項 2021年1月7日, 下午12時36分
寄件人： ShunkW <lwp...@yahoo.com>
日期： Mon, 07 Jan 2008 11:36:41 -0600
當地時間： 2021年1月7日(星期一) 下午12時36分
主旨： Obama Can Win; If He Does, Let's Hope His Sunny Bipartisan Talk Is Just Rhetoric
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*Obama Can Win; If He Does, Let's Hope His Sunny Bipartisan Talk Is Just
Rhetoric*
* By Joshua Holland <http://www.alternet.org/authors/6645/>, AlterNet
<http://www.alternet.org>. Posted January 7, 2008
<http://www.alternet.org/ts/archives/?date%5BF%5D=01&date%5BY%5D=2008&...>.*
* Flowery talk of hope and reconciliation has enormous appeal, but what
we need is a fighter.*
It's impossible to know if America is "ready to elect a black man" -- a
generic "black man," that is -- but there's every reason to believe that
it's more than ready to elect Barack Obama if he were to win the Dem
nomination.
That's a real possibility -- Obama's sitting in a /very/ strong spot
going into New Hampshire. It looks like he's had an impressive "bounce"
coming out of Iowa -- polls taken before the caucus still had Clinton
with a lead in New Hampshire, but several polls
<http://www.alternet.org/blogs/peek/#72863> conducted afterwards have
Obama up by an average of seven points over Clinton, with Edwards
trailing by 18.
What's more, Clinton and Edwards have little choice but to play into the
Obama narrative. She's attacked from the right, and Edwards, who has
criticized Obama from the left, now talks
<http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/01/edwards-he-obam.html>
about being in a "conviction alliance" with Obama (he's trying to kill
off Hillary and make it a two-person race), and those approaches allow
Obama to sit back, talk about hope and change and look like the new kind
of "post-partisan" candidate he claims to be, regardless of whether that
claim is grounded in fact.
According to the conventional wisdom, if Obama does end up getting the
nomination, his ethnicity and "exotic" middle name would be a major
hurdle to winning in November. But that narrative only looks at one side
of the coin.
There's been a relentless focus on the question of race. Is America
ready? Would the South go for a (half) African American with a name that
rhymes with "Osama"? Will people, fearful of being seen as a racist,
tell pollsters they'd vote for a man of color and then go against him
once they get into the confines of the voting booth? Will the Big Lie
that he's a Muslim get e-mailed around
<http://www.thenation.com/doc/20071112/hayes/4> to enough
"low-information" voters that a whole gaggle of people freak out, get
off the couch and head to the polls to beat him?
Yes to all of that -- one should never underestimate the role of race in
American politics. But the analysis misses a larger dynamic, which is
that anybody the Dems nominate will be Swift-Boated mercilessly, their
strong points turned into weaknesses and their humanity reduced to angry
caricatures. Al Gore became a liar, John Kerry, a decorated war hero,
became a wimp and the next nominee will be similarly transformed into a
hideous reflection of him- or herself. As Paul Waldman of MediaMatters
put it, "If the Democrats were to dig up the corpse of George Patton and
run him in an election, the Republicans would say he was soft on defense
and hated America."
In building a base of voters who don't like partisan politics and who
may be more likely to dismiss those attacks as being just more of the
same Washington "bickering," Obama may end up being, to a degree,
insulated from those kind of assaults in a way other, more "traditional"
Democratic candidates aren't.
The focus on race also looks at just one side of the ledger -- at an
unbalanced equation. Getting far less attention is that Obama has a
story, a narrative, that has the potential to bring a whole group of
people who haven't been politically engaged in the past into the
political world for the first time.
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